The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at nearly 50 days since February 14, stems from congressional gridlock over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement funding for ICE and border patrol. Senate Republicans secured unanimous passage of a clean funding bill on April 3, advancing it to the House amid pressure from extended TSA lines and impacts on FEMA and cybersecurity agencies, but the House skipped a vote, with its pro forma session set for April 6 and full return the week of April 13. President Trump's April 3 executive memorandum ordering back pay for all DHS employees eases worker strain without resolving the lapse, leaving traders focused on House leadership's two-track strategy—short-term funding plus reconciliation for policy reforms—as the key to duration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHow long will the DHS shutdown last?
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
$1,314,152 Vol.
$1,314,152 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
52+ days
100%
60+ days
80%
70+ days
42%
80+ days
34%
90+ days
23%
$1,314,152 Vol.
$1,314,152 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
52+ days
$43,058 Vol.
100%
60+ days
$305,413 Vol.
80%
70+ days
$11,778 Vol.
42%
80+ days
$15,836 Vol.
34%
90+ days
$20,305 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at nearly 50 days since February 14, stems from congressional gridlock over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement funding for ICE and border patrol. Senate Republicans secured unanimous passage of a clean funding bill on April 3, advancing it to the House amid pressure from extended TSA lines and impacts on FEMA and cybersecurity agencies, but the House skipped a vote, with its pro forma session set for April 6 and full return the week of April 13. President Trump's April 3 executive memorandum ordering back pay for all DHS employees eases worker strain without resolving the lapse, leaving traders focused on House leadership's two-track strategy—short-term funding plus reconciliation for policy reforms—as the key to duration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volume
$1,314,152End Date
Mar 14, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at nearly 50 days since February 14, stems from congressional gridlock over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement funding for ICE and border patrol. Senate Republicans secured unanimous passage of a clean funding bill on April 3, advancing it to the House amid pressure from extended TSA lines and impacts on FEMA and cybersecurity agencies, but the House skipped a vote, with its pro forma session set for April 6 and full return the week of April 13. President Trump's April 3 executive memorandum ordering back pay for all DHS employees eases worker strain without resolving the lapse, leaving traders focused on House leadership's two-track strategy—short-term funding plus reconciliation for policy reforms—as the key to duration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,314,152End Date
Mar 14, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at nearly 50 days since February 14, stems from congressional gridlock over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement funding for ICE and border patrol. Senate Republicans secured unanimous passage of a clean funding bill on April 3, advancing it to the House amid pressure from extended TSA lines and impacts on FEMA and cybersecurity agencies, but the House skipped a vote, with its pro forma session set for April 6 and full return the week of April 13. President Trump's April 3 executive memorandum ordering back pay for all DHS employees eases worker strain without resolving the lapse, leaving traders focused on House leadership's two-track strategy—short-term funding plus reconciliation for policy reforms—as the key to duration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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