The S&P 500 trades near 7,700 in late September 2026 after a year-to-date advance exceeding 10 percent, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,700 and 8,100. Strong corporate earnings growth, projected near 30 percent for 2026 and led by AI-related capital spending that accounts for roughly half the expansion, supports higher levels, yet the Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75–4.00 percent range and expectations for further tightening have lifted Treasury yields and compressed multiples. Seasonal volatility, elevated valuations, and upcoming data including PMI releases and FOMC communications introduce downside risks, while sustained earnings beats could reinforce upside momentum into year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$376,050 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
31%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
51%
↓ $7,200
36%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6,200
8%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
4%
↓ $4,500
3%
$376,050 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,600
$32,228 Vol.
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,992 Vol.
31%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
51%
↓ $7,200
$691 Vol.
36%
↓ $7,000
$2,450 Vol.
25%
↓ $6,200
$62,056 Vol.
8%
↓ $6,000
$4,991 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,800
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$70,900 Vol.
4%
↓ $4,500
$62,808 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,700 in late September 2026 after a year-to-date advance exceeding 10 percent, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,700 and 8,100. Strong corporate earnings growth, projected near 30 percent for 2026 and led by AI-related capital spending that accounts for roughly half the expansion, supports higher levels, yet the Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75–4.00 percent range and expectations for further tightening have lifted Treasury yields and compressed multiples. Seasonal volatility, elevated valuations, and upcoming data including PMI releases and FOMC communications introduce downside risks, while sustained earnings beats could reinforce upside momentum into year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$376,050End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,700 in late September 2026 after a year-to-date advance exceeding 10 percent, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,700 and 8,100. Strong corporate earnings growth, projected near 30 percent for 2026 and led by AI-related capital spending that accounts for roughly half the expansion, supports higher levels, yet the Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75–4.00 percent range and expectations for further tightening have lifted Treasury yields and compressed multiples. Seasonal volatility, elevated valuations, and upcoming data including PMI releases and FOMC communications introduce downside risks, while sustained earnings beats could reinforce upside momentum into year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$376,050End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near 7,700 in late September 2026 after a year-to-date advance exceeding 10 percent, with analyst year-end targets clustered between 7,700 and 8,100. Strong corporate earnings growth, projected near 30 percent for 2026 and led by AI-related capital spending that accounts for roughly half the expansion, supports higher levels, yet the Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike to the 3.75–4.00 percent range and expectations for further tightening have lifted Treasury yields and compressed multiples. Seasonal volatility, elevated valuations, and upcoming data including PMI releases and FOMC communications introduce downside risks, while sustained earnings beats could reinforce upside momentum into year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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