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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 90%

Callum Turner 2.9%

Harris Dickinson 2.1%

Jacob Elordi 1.9%

Polymarket

$2,968,108 Vol.

No Bond chosen 90%

Callum Turner 2.9%

Harris Dickinson 2.1%

Jacob Elordi 1.9%

Polymarket

$2,968,108 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$295,658 Vol.

90%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$156,786 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$218,217 Vol.

2%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$283,928 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$156,141 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$266,718 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,870 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,489 Vol.

1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$249,316 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$127,121 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$178,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$256,033 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$150,279 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$61,726 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$63,483 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability on no Bond chosen reflects the early stage of the official casting process, which Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May 2026 with a statement that the search is underway but offered no timeline or frontrunner. Casting director Nina Gold has begun meeting actors for a potential fresh face—likely a British performer in his late 20s or 30s—to lead the next film under Denis Villeneuve, slated for a later release. Speculation continues to swirl around names like Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi based on unverified reports of meetings, yet industry precedent and the lack of screen tests or guild-level signals keep any single actor's odds minimal. Traders are watching for the next official update or production milestone that could shift momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968,108
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability on no Bond chosen reflects the early stage of the official casting process, which Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May 2026 with a statement that the search is underway but offered no timeline or frontrunner. Casting director Nina Gold has begun meeting actors for a potential fresh face—likely a British performer in his late 20s or 30s—to lead the next film under Denis Villeneuve, slated for a later release. Speculation continues to swirl around names like Callum Turner and Jacob Elordi based on unverified reports of meetings, yet industry precedent and the lack of screen tests or guild-level signals keep any single actor's odds minimal. Traders are watching for the next official update or production milestone that could shift momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968,108
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 90%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.