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Culture predictions & odds

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Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

100%

280-299

$16M Vol.

$4M today

$1M Liq.

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

100%

$15M Vol.

$2M today

$13M Liq.

233

Ends in 8 days

Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?

24%

280-299

$2M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

15%

December 31

$43M Vol.

$633K today

$2M Liq.

1,361

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

99%

By June 30

$2M Vol.

$326K today

$96.1K Liq.

108

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
Culture·MrBeast

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

73%

60-70M

$794K Vol.

$203K today

$111K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

# of views of MrBeast video day 6?
Culture·MrBeast

# of views of MrBeast video day 6?

100%

63–64M

$181K Vol.

$180K today

$217K Liq.

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Culture·Movies

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

61%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$8M Vol.

$175K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

16%

880-919

$4M Vol.

$157K today

$504K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

"The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office
Culture·Box Office

"The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office

81%

92-102m

$330K Vol.

$149K today

$87.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$108K today

$123K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 days

Drake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales?
Culture·Music

Drake 'Iceman' First Week Album Sales?

87%

450k-500k

$2M Vol.

$106K today

$109K Liq.

144

Ends in 3 months

Elon Musk # tweets May 23 - May 25, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 23 - May 25, 2026?

38%

65-89

$91.9K Vol.

$91.3K today

$138K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

93%

$2M Vol.

$85.5K today

$123K Liq.

487

Ends in about 2 months

What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday?

What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday?

100%

Charlie / Kirk 5+ times

$54.8K Vol.

$51.0K today

$91.6K Liq.

24

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

26%

May 25

$102K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

92%

May 25

$611K Vol.

$87.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

66%

GPT-6 released

$22M Vol.

$683K Liq.

867

Ends in 2 months

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

17%

$335K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

49

Ends in 6 months

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
Culture·Awards

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

28%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$320K Vol.

$60.6K Liq.

2

Ends in about 7 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Culture.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Culture that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $134.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “GTA VI released before June 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Culture predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.