Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$972M Vol.

$8M today

$42M Liq.

629

Ends in over 2 years

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

66%

260-279

$23M Vol.

$5M today

$2M Liq.

3

Ends in about 6 hours

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$512M Vol.

$4M today

$29M Liq.

329

Ends in over 2 years

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

71%

December 31

$85M Vol.

$3M today

$3M Liq.

1,426

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$486M Vol.

$3M today

$32M Liq.

805

Ends in over 2 years

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$48M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

51

Ends in 26 days

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

100%

Mohammed bin Salman

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$574K Liq.

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

44%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$38M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

3,820

Ends in 6 months

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

97%

Kevin Warsh

$19M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

73

Ends in 7 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

29%

Édouard Philippe

$28M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

369

Ends in about 1 year

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

67%

Péter Magyar

$45M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

145

Ends in 9 days

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

20%

260-279

$6M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

79%

Chong Won-oh

$12M Vol.

$985K today

$706K Liq.

17

Ends in 2 months

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

70%

TISZA

$56M Vol.

$820K today

$978K Liq.

130

Ends in 9 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

85%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$792K today

$1M Liq.

379

Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

95%

Tô Lâm

$30M Vol.

$628K today

$541K Liq.

243

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$113M Vol.

$622K today

$20M Liq.

36

Ends in 9 months

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

52%

90-114

$860K Vol.

$589K today

$326K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

96%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$4M Vol.

$583K today

$50.7K Liq.

8

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

3%

$19M Vol.

$573K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 1567 active markets for Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.