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Congress predictions & odds

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

4%

$141K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

6%

Ex-Prince Andrew

$61.6K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 days

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

11%

$18.3K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

26%

$826 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

11%

June 30

$18.1K Vol.

$31 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$380K Liq.

74

Ends in 4 months

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

<1%

$419K Vol.

$99.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$319K Liq.

7

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

23%

Democrats 8-10%

$86.7K Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

99%

Celeste Maloy

$108K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

82%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$326K Vol.

$50.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 4 months

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

66%

$66.7K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

72%

36–39

$63.2K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

74%

$51.2K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 5 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

65%

7

$77.6K Vol.

$54.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 2 months

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

24%

$117K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

6%

$154K Vol.

$77.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 4 months

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

81%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$401K Vol.

$49.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$105K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

11%

$169K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

20

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 64 active markets for Congress that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to Republican Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Congress predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.