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Hegseth predictions & odds

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

3%

$10.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

37%

$204K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

12%

$121K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

47%

June 30

$128K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

43%

$42 Vol.

$83 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$156K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$568M Vol.

$4M today

$28M Liq.

882

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$600M Vol.

$2M today

$24M Liq.

378

Ends in over 2 years

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

63%

Nicolás Maduro

$87M Vol.

$109K today

$763K Liq.

327

Ends in 8 months

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

63%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

4%

Any U.S. Senator

$379K Vol.

$60.1K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

34%

Marco Rubio

$13.2K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

Howard Lutnick

$10.4K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

33%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6.1K Vol.

$954K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$8.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

Zoun

$1.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

67%

Diamant Esports

$1 Vol.

$308 Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

MASONIC

$1.8K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Ølgod Efterskole

$3.3K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hegseth.

Polymarket currently hosts 123 active markets for Hegseth that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hegseth predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.