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Peru Presidential Election Winner

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Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.3%

Rafael López Aliaga 9%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$37,211,365 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.3%

Rafael López Aliaga 9%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$37,211,365 Vol.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Keiko Fujimori

$4,728,362 Vol.

66%

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$7,602,266 Vol.

23%

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Rafael López Aliaga

$7,305,856 Vol.

9%

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Jorge Nieto

$4,406,048 Vol.

1%

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Ricardo Belmont

$3,551,665 Vol.

<1%

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Carlos Álvarez

$2,027,474 Vol.

<1%

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

César Acuña

$630,886 Vol.

<1%

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Vladimir Cerrón

$247,132 Vol.

<1%

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Roberto Chiabra

$128,420 Vol.

<1%

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Enrique Valderrama

$241,856 Vol.

<1%

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Mesías Guevara

$320,101 Vol.

<1%

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Mario Vizcarra

$194,887 Vol.

<1%

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

José Luna

$363,828 Vol.

<1%

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

José Williams

$133,964 Vol.

<1%

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Fiorella Molinelli

$156,433 Vol.

<1%

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Fernando Olivera

$439,406 Vol.

<1%

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Yonhy Lescano

$431,756 Vol.

<1%

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Alfonso López Chau

$1,530,278 Vol.

<1%

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

George Forsyth

$272,278 Vol.

<1%

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Carlos Espá

$816,631 Vol.

<1%

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$216,613 Vol.

<1%

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Marisol Pérez Tello

$784,641 Vol.

<1%

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? icon

Wolfgang Grozo

$684,578 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-round victory on April 12-13, securing advancement to the June 7 runoff with around 17% amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates requiring over 50% for outright win. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 23.2% odds reflect his surge to second place at roughly 12% in counts nearing 92% completion, positioning him as the likely runoff challenger from Juntos por el Perú. Rafael López Aliaga trails at 8.5% in the tight battle for second alongside Jorge Nieto. Logistical delays like ballot shortages extended voting, but Fujimori's pre-election polling edge in Lima and northern regions, coupled with voter focus on crime and corruption, drives her favoritism in the two-round system. Ongoing tallies and potential challenges could shift dynamics ahead of the runoff.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$37,211,365
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-round victory on April 12-13, securing advancement to the June 7 runoff with around 17% amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates requiring over 50% for outright win. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 23.2% odds reflect his surge to second place at roughly 12% in counts nearing 92% completion, positioning him as the likely runoff challenger from Juntos por el Perú. Rafael López Aliaga trails at 8.5% in the tight battle for second alongside Jorge Nieto. Logistical delays like ballot shortages extended voting, but Fujimori's pre-election polling edge in Lima and northern regions, coupled with voter focus on crime and corruption, drives her favoritism in the two-round system. Ongoing tallies and potential challenges could shift dynamics ahead of the runoff.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$37,211,365
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Peru Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 66%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Peru Presidential Election Winner" has generated $37.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Peru Presidential Election Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.