Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-round victory on April 12-13, securing advancement to the June 7 runoff with around 17% amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates requiring over 50% for outright win. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 23.2% odds reflect his surge to second place at roughly 12% in counts nearing 92% completion, positioning him as the likely runoff challenger from Juntos por el Perú. Rafael López Aliaga trails at 8.5% in the tight battle for second alongside Jorge Nieto. Logistical delays like ballot shortages extended voting, but Fujimori's pre-election polling edge in Lima and northern regions, coupled with voter focus on crime and corruption, drives her favoritism in the two-round system. Ongoing tallies and potential challenges could shift dynamics ahead of the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Presidential Election Winner
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 9%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$37,211,365 Vol.
$37,211,365 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%

Rafael López Aliaga
9%

Jorge Nieto
1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 9%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$37,211,365 Vol.
$37,211,365 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%

Rafael López Aliaga
9%

Jorge Nieto
1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-round victory on April 12-13, securing advancement to the June 7 runoff with around 17% amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates requiring over 50% for outright win. Roberto Sánchez Palomino's 23.2% odds reflect his surge to second place at roughly 12% in counts nearing 92% completion, positioning him as the likely runoff challenger from Juntos por el Perú. Rafael López Aliaga trails at 8.5% in the tight battle for second alongside Jorge Nieto. Logistical delays like ballot shortages extended voting, but Fujimori's pre-election polling edge in Lima and northern regions, coupled with voter focus on crime and corruption, drives her favoritism in the two-round system. Ongoing tallies and potential challenges could shift dynamics ahead of the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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