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PM predictions & odds

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Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

98%

December 31

$548K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

253

Ends in 6 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$440K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

66

Ends in 6 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

22%

$74.2K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

21

Ends in 6 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$324K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

111

Ends in 6 months

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

3%

$8.7K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

23%

$764 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

41%

June 20

$4.6K Vol.

$12 Liq.

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

96%

Andy Burnham

$11M Vol.

$499K today

$2M Liq.

110

Ends in 6 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

53%

Giorgia Meloni

$36.8K Vol.

$156K Liq.

12

Ends in over 2 years

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

16%

$18.6K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

2%

Japan

$3B Vol.

$78M today

$576M Liq.

1,493

Ends in 29 days

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

97%

Abiy Ahmed

$37M Vol.

$5M today

$103K Liq.

5

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

3%

Deniz Undav

$22M Vol.

$2M today

$5M Liq.

95

Ends in 29 days

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

100%

July 31

$58M Vol.

$2M today

$239K Liq.

6

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

100%

Troop Withdrawal

$10M Vol.

$2M today

$5M Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

98%

December 31

$35M Vol.

$2M today

$597K Liq.

1,945

Ends in 6 months

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

100%

June 30

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$9M Liq.

355

Belgium vs. IR Iran - More Markets

Belgium vs. IR Iran - More Markets

95%

Over

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

<1%

$63M Vol.

$1M today

$674K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 days

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia - More Markets

97%

Over

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 2417 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 2% chance to Japan. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.