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PM predictions & odds

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

34%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$625K Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

44%

Giorgia Meloni

$10.5K Vol.

$44.3K Liq.

7

Ends in over 2 years

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

14%

$14.3K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

47%

$908 Vol.

$286 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

45%

$119 Vol.

$105 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

82%

December 31

$124K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

47

Ends in 8 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

100%

May 4

$4.8K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$125K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

68%

June

$333K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

100%

April 30

$8M Vol.

$7M today

$5M Liq.

1

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

17%

France

$889M Vol.

$5M today

$201M Liq.

661

Ends in 3 months

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

100%

$26M Vol.

$3M today

$7M Liq.

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

52%

May 31

$4M Vol.

$3M today

$316K Liq.

291

Ends in 26 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?

46%

160-179

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$60M Vol.

$2M today

$5M Liq.

454

Ends in 12 months

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

36%

Finland

$128M Vol.

$2M today

$16M Liq.

528

Ends in 11 days

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

64%

December 31

$72M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

1,508

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

30%

$21M Vol.

$1M today

$634K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

$16M Vol.

$1M today

$631K Liq.

1

Ends in 26 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 4209 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.