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UK predictions & odds

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

96%

Andy Burnham

$11M Vol.

$499K today

$2M Liq.

110

Ends in 6 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$66.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$789K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

15

June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

26%

2.2-2.4%

$9.0K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

8%

$3.9K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

42%

4-5%

$2.1K Vol.

$636 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

<1%

$4.9K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

43%

Negative

$150 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

56%

June 30, 2027

$101 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

1%

$97.8K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 days

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

34%

$5.4K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

98%

December 31

$35M Vol.

$2M today

$597K Liq.

1,945

Ends in 6 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

51%

Petro - Colombia President

$2M Vol.

$609K today

$498K Liq.

37

Ends in 6 months

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

95%

Andy Burnham

$57.1K Vol.

$73.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

75%

Bev Craig

$11.6K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

99%

Burnham 9%+

$65.2K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

2

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

90%

December 31, 2026

$78.1K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 days

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

100%

$69.2K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 days

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

33%

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

$9.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

91%

No change

$6.5K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UK.

Polymarket currently hosts 33 active markets for UK that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $52.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UK predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.