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UK predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

69%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$65.3K today

$258K Liq.

692

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

97%

Reform

$226K Vol.

$112K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 days

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

34%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$632K Liq.

57

Ends in 8 months

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

88%

Labour

$101K Vol.

$74.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 days

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

69%

Rowenna Davis

$115K Vol.

$72.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 days

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

82%

Liam Shrivastava

$65.5K Vol.

$61.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

76%

Forhad Hussain

$45.5K Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Precipitation in London in April?

Precipitation in London in April?

99%

<20mm

$27.2K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

74%

1600+

$23.6K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

97%

300+

$29.4K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

90%

500+

$11.3K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

94%

Zoë Garbett

$24.9K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$6.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

95%

600+

$23.4K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

20%

$7.5K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

91%

300+

$7.6K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

93%

$54.0K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 days

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

64%

No change

$59.2K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

93%

Lutfur Rahman

$12.4K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

51%

0.6-0.9%

$26.3K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UK.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for UK that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UK predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.