Former Prince Andrew remains under investigation for misconduct in public office after his February 19 arrest on suspicion of leaking confidential trade documents to Jeffrey Epstein, but was released without charges after questioning, with the offense carrying a potential life sentence. Crown prosecutors began providing early investigative advice to police as recently as April 2, yet no indictment or trial date has emerged amid scrutiny of newly disclosed Epstein files from U.S. legislation. His prior 2022 civil settlement with accuser Virginia Giuffre admitted no liability and yielded no criminal sex-trafficking charges, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of prison sentencing given the lengthy UK process and evidentiary hurdles ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$202,941 Vol.
$202,941 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$202,941 Vol.
$202,941 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew remains under investigation for misconduct in public office after his February 19 arrest on suspicion of leaking confidential trade documents to Jeffrey Epstein, but was released without charges after questioning, with the offense carrying a potential life sentence. Crown prosecutors began providing early investigative advice to police as recently as April 2, yet no indictment or trial date has emerged amid scrutiny of newly disclosed Epstein files from U.S. legislation. His prior 2022 civil settlement with accuser Virginia Giuffre admitted no liability and yielded no criminal sex-trafficking charges, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of prison sentencing given the lengthy UK process and evidentiary hurdles ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$202,941End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew remains under investigation for misconduct in public office after his February 19 arrest on suspicion of leaking confidential trade documents to Jeffrey Epstein, but was released without charges after questioning, with the offense carrying a potential life sentence. Crown prosecutors began providing early investigative advice to police as recently as April 2, yet no indictment or trial date has emerged amid scrutiny of newly disclosed Epstein files from U.S. legislation. His prior 2022 civil settlement with accuser Virginia Giuffre admitted no liability and yielded no criminal sex-trafficking charges, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of prison sentencing given the lengthy UK process and evidentiary hurdles ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$202,941End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Prince Andrew remains under investigation for misconduct in public office after his February 19 arrest on suspicion of leaking confidential trade documents to Jeffrey Epstein, but was released without charges after questioning, with the offense carrying a potential life sentence. Crown prosecutors began providing early investigative advice to police as recently as April 2, yet no indictment or trial date has emerged amid scrutiny of newly disclosed Epstein files from U.S. legislation. His prior 2022 civil settlement with accuser Virginia Giuffre admitted no liability and yielded no criminal sex-trafficking charges, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% "No" probability of prison sentencing given the lengthy UK process and evidentiary hurdles ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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