Skip to main content

Approvals predictions & odds

·
Trump approval rating on May 8?

Trump approval rating on May 8?

56%

<39.0

$11.7K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

32%

Up

$3.0K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

87%

38.5%

$293 Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

50%

Up

$148 Vol.

$83 Liq.

FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?

FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?

97%

$1.9K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

74%

$6.5K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

94%

$47.7K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

45%

$5.6K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

2%

$8.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

4%

$1.5K Vol.

$301 Liq.

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

24%

$563K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

78%

$487 Vol.

$753 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

21%

$2.2K Vol.

$64 Liq.

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

60%

$78 Vol.

$157 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

26%

$22.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

89%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

8%

$2.7K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$472K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

33

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

78%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

1%

$105K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Approvals.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Approvals that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump approval rating on May 8?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Approvals predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.