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Tariffs predictions & odds

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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

2%

$39.3K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 16 days

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

3%

$14.7K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

1%

$64.0K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 16 days

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

4%

$28.8K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

75%

$16.8K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$578 Liq.

10

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

13%

↑ 0.12

$2.2K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0010

$115K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

99%

$720

$638 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

30%

↑ $3

$695K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

28%

↓ 60

$1M Vol.

$68.2K today

$341K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

92%

$21.8K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

What price will BNB hit in June?

What price will BNB hit in June?

17%

↓ 500

$19.7K Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

74%

$613K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$429 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

27%

↓ 52

$94.7K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$69.5K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

60%

$84

$86 Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

91%

↑ 65,000

$15M Vol.

$838K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tariffs.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Tariffs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to ↑ 65,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tariffs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.