Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

100%

March 31

$992K Vol.

$758K today

$708K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

30%

$12M Vol.

$74.3K today

$490K Liq.

5,422

Ends in 9 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

9%

$4M Vol.

$59.0K today

$507K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

2%

$2M Vol.

$473K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

5%

$49.1K Vol.

$136K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

97%

June 30

$105K Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?

12%

April 30

$31.7K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 26 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

17%

$2M Vol.

$146K Liq.

89

Ends in 9 months

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

48

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

122

Ends in 9 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

17%

$535K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$274K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

15

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

5%

$20.2K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

20%

$14.5K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 26 days

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

15%

$28.1K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

$59.2K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

4

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

18%

$78.4K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

78

Ends in 3 months

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

15%

$52.2K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

5%

$142K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ukraine.

Polymarket currently hosts 294 active markets for Ukraine that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ukraine predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.