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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
21%
$17m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
52%
Kevin Warsh
38%
$43m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
8%
January 31, 2026
19%
$25m Vol.
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
chance
Yes
No
$176k Vol.
Bills
41%
Patriots
60%
Live
$4m Vol.
Vitality
66%
FaZe
34%
$3m Vol.
Browns
22%
Bears
78%
$2m Vol.
Deportivo Alavés
16%
Real Madrid CF
63%
Deportivo
DRAW
Real Madrid
$717k Vol.
Hornets
18%
Cavaliers
83%
$712k Vol.
Chile Presidential Election
José Antonio Kast
98%
Jeannette Jara
2%
$85m Vol.
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
0
93%
1-100
6%
$7m Vol.
David Friedberg
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?
December 15
December 31
35%
$382k Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 19
65%
76%
$5m Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$1B
86%
>$2B
80%
$23m Vol.
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
87%
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
20%
$95k Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
24%
Pete Hegseth
$104k Vol.
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
3%
$272k Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
10%
Anthony Joshua
85%
$1m Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
17%
$101k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$38m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
$55m Vol.
Largest Company end of 2025?
NVIDIA
81%
Apple
$54m Vol.
Honduras Presidential Election
Nasry "Tito" Asfura
Salvador Nasralla
$21m Vol.
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