Ongoing gang violence and insecurity remain the dominant barrier to Haiti’s scheduled August 30, 2026, first-round presidential and legislative elections, as Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions are inadequate. The April postponement of voter and candidate registration, tied to alignment with a new political pact and constitutional referendum process, has added procedural uncertainty without new timelines. These factors sustain competitive trader sentiment around the 54% “No” probability that another delay will be avoided. Progress on security restoration, secured funding, or swift resumption of registration could support holding the vote on schedule, while escalation in gang control or further official statements on unmet prerequisites would likely increase the chance of postponement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing gang violence and insecurity remain the dominant barrier to Haiti’s scheduled August 30, 2026, first-round presidential and legislative elections, as Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions are inadequate. The April postponement of voter and candidate registration, tied to alignment with a new political pact and constitutional referendum process, has added procedural uncertainty without new timelines. These factors sustain competitive trader sentiment around the 54% “No” probability that another delay will be avoided. Progress on security restoration, secured funding, or swift resumption of registration could support holding the vote on schedule, while escalation in gang control or further official statements on unmet prerequisites would likely increase the chance of postponement.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Volume
$6,745End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing gang violence and insecurity remain the dominant barrier to Haiti’s scheduled August 30, 2026, first-round presidential and legislative elections, as Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions are inadequate. The April postponement of voter and candidate registration, tied to alignment with a new political pact and constitutional referendum process, has added procedural uncertainty without new timelines. These factors sustain competitive trader sentiment around the 54% “No” probability that another delay will be avoided. Progress on security restoration, secured funding, or swift resumption of registration could support holding the vote on schedule, while escalation in gang control or further official statements on unmet prerequisites would likely increase the chance of postponement.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,745End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing gang violence and insecurity remain the dominant barrier to Haiti’s scheduled August 30, 2026, first-round presidential and legislative elections, as Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in May that conditions are inadequate. The April postponement of voter and candidate registration, tied to alignment with a new political pact and constitutional referendum process, has added procedural uncertainty without new timelines. These factors sustain competitive trader sentiment around the 54% “No” probability that another delay will be avoided. Progress on security restoration, secured funding, or swift resumption of registration could support holding the vote on schedule, while escalation in gang control or further official statements on unmet prerequisites would likely increase the chance of postponement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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