The DHS partial government shutdown, triggered by a funding lapse on February 14, 2026, has lasted nearly 50 days—the longest in U.S. history—due to partisan impasse over appropriations, especially for ICE and CBP amid immigration enforcement disputes. On April 2, the Senate unanimously advanced a bipartisan bill funding most operations including TSA, but House Republicans deferred amid internal resistance, with the chamber in recess until mid-April. President Trump signed a memorandum directing backpay for furloughed workers, easing immediate hardships like extended airport security lines. Key traders monitor House Speaker Johnson's vote-wrangling upon return, alongside potential reconciliation maneuvers, as narrow majorities heighten prolonged lapse risks absent compromise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHow long will the DHS shutdown last?
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
$1,308,185 Vol.
$1,308,185 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
52+ days
99%
60+ days
81%
70+ days
40%
80+ days
34%
90+ days
17%
$1,308,185 Vol.
$1,308,185 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
52+ days
$39,069 Vol.
99%
60+ days
$303,759 Vol.
81%
70+ days
$11,744 Vol.
40%
80+ days
$15,836 Vol.
34%
90+ days
$19,877 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The DHS partial government shutdown, triggered by a funding lapse on February 14, 2026, has lasted nearly 50 days—the longest in U.S. history—due to partisan impasse over appropriations, especially for ICE and CBP amid immigration enforcement disputes. On April 2, the Senate unanimously advanced a bipartisan bill funding most operations including TSA, but House Republicans deferred amid internal resistance, with the chamber in recess until mid-April. President Trump signed a memorandum directing backpay for furloughed workers, easing immediate hardships like extended airport security lines. Key traders monitor House Speaker Johnson's vote-wrangling upon return, alongside potential reconciliation maneuvers, as narrow majorities heighten prolonged lapse risks absent compromise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,308,185End Date
Mar 14, 2026Market Opened
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The DHS partial government shutdown, triggered by a funding lapse on February 14, 2026, has lasted nearly 50 days—the longest in U.S. history—due to partisan impasse over appropriations, especially for ICE and CBP amid immigration enforcement disputes. On April 2, the Senate unanimously advanced a bipartisan bill funding most operations including TSA, but House Republicans deferred amid internal resistance, with the chamber in recess until mid-April. President Trump signed a memorandum directing backpay for furloughed workers, easing immediate hardships like extended airport security lines. Key traders monitor House Speaker Johnson's vote-wrangling upon return, alongside potential reconciliation maneuvers, as narrow majorities heighten prolonged lapse risks absent compromise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,308,185End Date
Mar 14, 2026Market Opened
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The DHS partial government shutdown, triggered by a funding lapse on February 14, 2026, has lasted nearly 50 days—the longest in U.S. history—due to partisan impasse over appropriations, especially for ICE and CBP amid immigration enforcement disputes. On April 2, the Senate unanimously advanced a bipartisan bill funding most operations including TSA, but House Republicans deferred amid internal resistance, with the chamber in recess until mid-April. President Trump signed a memorandum directing backpay for furloughed workers, easing immediate hardships like extended airport security lines. Key traders monitor House Speaker Johnson's vote-wrangling upon return, alongside potential reconciliation maneuvers, as narrow majorities heighten prolonged lapse risks absent compromise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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