Trader consensus assigning a 95.9 percent implied probability against abolition of the Federal Reserve before 2027 reflects the institution’s entrenched statutory authority under the Federal Reserve Act and the absence of any advancing congressional legislation to repeal or restructure it. Bipartisan support for the central bank’s role in managing the federal funds rate, conducting open-market operations, and maintaining financial stability has persisted across administrations, with no recent fiscal or regulatory developments signaling momentum for dissolution. Market-implied odds price in this structural inertia rather than short-term political rhetoric. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to extreme contingencies, such as a prolonged systemic crisis prompting radical congressional overhaul, though current legislative calendars and committee priorities show no such trajectory.