Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.8% on U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027, reflecting Denmark's repeated official rejections of any sovereignty transfer and Greenland's autonomous government's firm stance against sale or cession, as reaffirmed in January 2026 talks that ended without resolution. President Trump's aggressive rhetoric early in his second term, including threats of tariffs and initial hints at force to counter Russian and Chinese Arctic influence, eased after his January 21 Davos speech disavowing military action, amid NATO cohesion concerns and European parliamentary support for Greenland's territorial integrity. No bilateral framework or U.S. congressional action has advanced, with recent March reports of alleged covert U.S. operations dismissed by Danish media, underscoring diplomatic and legal barriers despite strategic motivations. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face high hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$31,121,354 Vol.
$31,121,354 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$31,121,354 Vol.
$31,121,354 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.8% on U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027, reflecting Denmark's repeated official rejections of any sovereignty transfer and Greenland's autonomous government's firm stance against sale or cession, as reaffirmed in January 2026 talks that ended without resolution. President Trump's aggressive rhetoric early in his second term, including threats of tariffs and initial hints at force to counter Russian and Chinese Arctic influence, eased after his January 21 Davos speech disavowing military action, amid NATO cohesion concerns and European parliamentary support for Greenland's territorial integrity. No bilateral framework or U.S. congressional action has advanced, with recent March reports of alleged covert U.S. operations dismissed by Danish media, underscoring diplomatic and legal barriers despite strategic motivations. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face high hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$31,121,354End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.8% on U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027, reflecting Denmark's repeated official rejections of any sovereignty transfer and Greenland's autonomous government's firm stance against sale or cession, as reaffirmed in January 2026 talks that ended without resolution. President Trump's aggressive rhetoric early in his second term, including threats of tariffs and initial hints at force to counter Russian and Chinese Arctic influence, eased after his January 21 Davos speech disavowing military action, amid NATO cohesion concerns and European parliamentary support for Greenland's territorial integrity. No bilateral framework or U.S. congressional action has advanced, with recent March reports of alleged covert U.S. operations dismissed by Danish media, underscoring diplomatic and legal barriers despite strategic motivations. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face high hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$31,121,354End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.8% on U.S. acquisition of Greenland before 2027, reflecting Denmark's repeated official rejections of any sovereignty transfer and Greenland's autonomous government's firm stance against sale or cession, as reaffirmed in January 2026 talks that ended without resolution. President Trump's aggressive rhetoric early in his second term, including threats of tariffs and initial hints at force to counter Russian and Chinese Arctic influence, eased after his January 21 Davos speech disavowing military action, amid NATO cohesion concerns and European parliamentary support for Greenland's territorial integrity. No bilateral framework or U.S. congressional action has advanced, with recent March reports of alleged covert U.S. operations dismissed by Danish media, underscoring diplomatic and legal barriers despite strategic motivations. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face high hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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