Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$112M Vol.

$19M today

$22M Liq.

36

Ends in 9 months

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

73%

December 31

$78M Vol.

$8M today

$2M Liq.

1,378

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$960M Vol.

$8M today

$37M Liq.

630

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$505M Vol.

$4M today

$28M Liq.

332

Ends in over 2 years

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

4%

$18M Vol.

$3M today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 28 days

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$44M Vol.

$3M today

$5M Liq.

38

Ends in 27 days

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$482M Vol.

$3M today

$29M Liq.

810

Ends in over 2 years

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

44%

260-279

$17M Vol.

$3M today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 1 day

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

64%

Péter Magyar

$43M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

101

Ends in 10 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

87%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$2M today

$652K Liq.

364

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

81%

June 30

$10M Vol.

$1M today

$399K Liq.

201

Ends in 3 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

43%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$36M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

3,803

Ends in 6 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

11%

$25M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?

97%

Nuclear

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$342K Liq.

65

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

30%

Édouard Philippe

$27M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

369

Ends in about 1 year

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

69%

TISZA

$53M Vol.

$999K today

$894K Liq.

127

Ends in 10 days

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

96%

Kevin Warsh

$17M Vol.

$901K today

$1M Liq.

74

Ends in 7 months

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

30%

June 30

$11M Vol.

$739K today

$347K Liq.

230

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

15%

280-299

$5M Vol.

$701K today

$716K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

75%

Chong Won-oh

$11M Vol.

$687K today

$555K Liq.

18

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 1571 active markets for Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Netanyahu out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.